Naval It’s Rare to Have Competing, Viable, Scientific Theories
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May 11, 2021 Delve into the complexities of scientific theories and the balance of probability at play. Discover Solomonoff induction’s role in shaping scientific understanding. The discussion highlights the challenges of evaluating innovative explanations and the integration of Bayesian methods. Tune in for an engaging exploration of how complexity influences scientific thought.
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Solomonoff Induction
- Solomonoff Induction suggests a probability-weighted approach to evaluating theories.
- Simpler theories are more likely than complex ones, and all possible theories contribute to the probability distribution.
Competing Theories in Science
- It's rare in science to have multiple viable competing theories simultaneously.
- Physics, with Newtonian gravity and general relativity, presents a rare example.
Limitations of Bayesianism
- Bayesianism excels in finite, known spaces, updating probabilities with new information.
- However, it doesn't generate new explanations; creativity does.