Is Wall Street ignoring the true risk in markets? Michael Gayed joins Maggie Lake to explain why investors are watching the wrong risk signals by focusing on Trump’s tariffs and why small caps, Japan, and junk debt may hold the real clues to what happens next.

In this in-depth conversation, Michael breaks down:

Why small caps are halfway through a lost decade
How Japan’s monetary policy and the reverse carry trade could trigger a global credit event
The dangerous disconnect between small caps and junk debt spreads
Why passive flows into mega-cap stocks are masking real economic weakness
How a bullish or bearish tail event could resolve these market distortions
And why gold may not behave like a safe haven in the next crisis

Chapters:

0:32 - Tariff Tensions: Growth Under Pressure?

4:23 - Zombie Small Caps: Crisis or Transformation?

6:57 - Mega Tech Mirage: The Illusion of Market Health

9:25 - Reverse Carry Unveiled: Japan’s Financial Tipping Point

14:35 - Trump’s Dollar Dilemma: The Weaker Wish

16:02 - Unwinding Uncertainty: What Could Spark A Japan Panic?

20:59 - Gold Sell-Off: Unveiling the Warning

24:05 - Economic Signals: Growth or Gloom in the US?

27:25 - Deregulation Dilemma: Positioning for Change

29:47 - Oil Outlook: Balancing Supply, Demand, and Risk

30:56 - Equity Rotation: Shifting from Mega Caps

33:11 - Small Cap Timing: Seizing the Opportunity

35:26 - Global Pivot: Betting on International Markets

36:20 - Conviction Check: What Would Change the Game?

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IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields.

While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor.

We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so.

The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.

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