Ukraine Can Now Strike Russia Direct || Peter Zeihan
Nov 26, 2024
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The recent decision allows Ukraine to use American weaponry inside Russia, significantly altering the battlefield dynamics. The focus is on the ATACMS missile system and its potential to disrupt Russian supply lines. A historical analysis sheds light on ongoing Russian aggression and U.S. responses, emphasizing the need for clear communication between leaders. The conversation considers how these shifts might shape future negotiations and the impact of political changes on the conflict.
The Biden administration's approval for Ukraine to use American weaponry, like ATACMS missiles, significantly enhances its strike capabilities against Russian logistics.
The logistical disruption aims to support Ukraine's defense while complicating future diplomatic negotiations involving potential changes in U.S. leadership.
Deep dives
Impact of Increased Military Capacity on Ukraine
The recent lifting of restrictions allows Ukraine to use advanced American weapons, particularly ATACMS missiles, to target critical Russian logistical assets. These weapons can strike up to 200 miles, enabling Ukraine to disrupt Russian supply routes, especially around strategic locations like Kursk and Pokrosk. Although the impact on Russian air power may be minimal since most jets are already beyond the missile's range, this development helps Ukraine consolidate its defense. The primary objective is to hinder Russia's ability to deliver military resources effectively, thus supporting Ukraine's ongoing resistance.
Geopolitical Implications and Future Negotiations
The response from Russia to this military escalation remains tepid, suggesting a lack of serious consequences for Ukraine's new capabilities. The podcast emphasizes that for Russia to regain credibility regarding its red lines, direct communication is necessary, yet Putin’s avoidance of such talks signals a preference for military engagements rather than diplomatic discussions. Looking ahead, the timing of this military aid before potential changes in U.S. leadership introduces an intriguing element for future negotiations, particularly with the return of Donald Trump. This scenario suggests that the Biden administration is strategically positioning itself to provide Trump with leverage in dealings with Russia, highlighting a shift towards a more bipartisan approach in foreign policy not seen in recent years.
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New Military Capabilities for Ukraine: Analyzing Potential Impacts
The Biden administration just gave Ukraine the greenlight to use American weaponry inside of Russian territory. So, what does this mean for the future of the Ukraine War?