In 'Hillbilly Elegy,' J.D. Vance recounts his life growing up in a dysfunctional family in Middletown, Ohio, with roots in Kentucky's Appalachia. The book details his experiences with poverty, addiction, and family violence, as well as his journey to joining the marines and eventually graduating from Yale Law School. Vance provides a personal and insightful look into the decline of the white working class in America, exploring themes of family, culture, and the loss of the American dream. The memoir also touches on the political swing of the region, particularly in relation to the 2016 presidential election and the appeal of Donald Trump to this demographic.
The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future based on a provocative theory of American history. The authors identify a distinct pattern where modern history moves in cycles, each lasting about the length of a long human life, composed of four twenty-year eras—or 'turnings'—that comprise history's seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. The book offers bold predictions about how America’s past will predict what comes next, particularly focusing on the roles of Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials during times of upheaval.
Kyle Bass is the Founder/CIO of Hayman Capital Management, L.P., an investment manager of private funds focused on global event-driven opportunities, and the Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Conservation Equity Management, an impact and natural capital private equity firm.
Kyle is also the Co-Chief Executive Officer of the newly formed Rochefort Management, a private credit firm focused on the Critical Technology Initiative – a joint effort between the Small Business Administration and the Department of Defense to attract private investment into technology areas deemed critical to national and economic security.
Mr. Bass is a Life Member of the Council on Foreign Relations and the recipient of the 2019 Foreign Policy Association Medal for his responsible internationalism. Mr. Bass has lectured on global economics, national security, geopolitics, and the architecture of the Chinese financial system at various universities. Mr. Bass is the former Chair of the Risk Committee of the Board of Directors of the University of Texas Investment Management Company (UTIMCO), which manages approximately $75 billion.
We discuss:
- Predicting the GFC and attempting to warn Bear Stearns and the SEC of the coming collapse
- The global state of affairs: China, Taiwan, Russia, Iran and BRICS
- How the U.S. and Trump should combat China
- The rise of the U.S. Defense-Tech industry
- Why Texas is the Growth Engine for the world
(00:00:00) - Intro
(00:04:03) - Introducing Kyle
(00:05:58) - Short-Selling Thesis
(00:11:45) - Predicting the GFC
(00:19:50) - Trying to warn Bear Stearns & the SEC
(00:25:39) - How to hire a contrarian
(00:29:23) - China-Taiwan
(00:33:34) - How Trump can have a successful presidency concerning China
(00:44:17) - Iran
(00:46:34) - Why some wealthy Americans are pro-China
(00:49:32) - The Chinese land grab in America
(00:52:41) - Texas: The growth engine of the world
(00:58:47) - The Defense-Tech Industry in America
(01:02:03) - What Kyle will invest in
(01:05:19) - The Texas migration and influence
(01:09:23) - What do you want to be known for?
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