Season 12, Episode 6: What impact will the U.S. presidential election have on regulation? Who will win?

It can't have escaped anyone's notice that there is a presidential election in the United States on Tuesday, November 5. The polls are too tight to call and the fight for the White House between former President Donald Trump and Vice-President Kamala Harris is going right down to the wire.

In this episode of Compliance Clarified, Alexander Robson, managing editor, Regulatory Intelligence, in London chats with Henry Engler, senior editor, and Todd Ehret, senior regulatory intelligence expert in New York, about the possible outcomes, the polls and betting markets, and, specifically, what a decisive result for either candidate would mean for financial regulation. They discuss the possible impact on banking and crypto regulation and how House/Senate races beyond the presidential election might shape the outcome.

Will Fed Chair Jay Powell survive under Trump? What is the future of Fed vice chair for supervision Michael Barr under Trump given Wall Street's hostility towards his Basel endgame plans? What would a Harris administration focus on? Henry and Todd discuss these questions and more.

The Compliance Clarified podcast series covers a wide range of topics that affect compliance officers at financial institutions and aims to help them navigate the often challenging regulatory environment. It considers the significant challenges of the day and offers practical ideas for emerging best practices.

Links
Kalshi Markets: https://kalshi.com/markets

Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024

Predictit: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

U.S. appeals court clears Kalshi to restart elections betting (paywall): http://go-ri.tr.com/aOPu3s

INSIGHT: U.S. CFTC proposes rule to clarify ban on listed derivative bets on elections and other events (paywall): http://go-ri.tr.com/yIZWLm

How could Trump overhaul US financial regulators if he wins on Nov. 5?: https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/how-trump-could-overhaul-us-financial-regulators-if-he-wins-nov-5-2024-10-10/

Compliance Clarified is a podcast from Thomson Reuters Regulatory Intelligence.
Listen to wide-ranging, insightful discussions on all things compliance for financial services firms. We delve into the hot topics of the day, the challenges faced and offer up practical ideas for emerging good practice. We de-mystify regulation and explore the art, as well as the science, of the ever-expanding role of the compliance officer.  Enforcements, digital transformation, regulatory change, governance, culture, conduct risk – anything and everything impacting the compliance function is up for discussion.