Intelligence Squared

The Sunday Debate: Should the West defend Taiwan?

Aug 28, 2022
Daniel L. Davis, a former U.S. Army lieutenant colonel and military analyst, joins human rights advocate Benedict Rogers and Taiwanese expert Brian Hioe to discuss the West's role in defending Taiwan. They debate the moral imperatives versus the strategic risks of potential conflict with China. Davis highlights military strategies like unconventional warfare, while Rogers emphasizes democratic values. Hioe sheds light on Taiwanese public opinion in navigating independence versus unification pressures, making it a riveting discussion on Taiwan's future.
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ADVICE

Deterrence Strategy

  • Deter Beijing from invading Taiwan by projecting strength.
  • Make it clear that the West would respond to an invasion, though war would be devastating.
INSIGHT

Defense Infeasibility

  • The US cannot successfully defend Taiwan against a Chinese invasion.
  • China would likely control the timing and have superior resources in place.
INSIGHT

China's Dilemma

  • Invading Taiwan would be disastrous for China, both militarily and economically.
  • However, China's irrationality and broader ambitions in the Asia-Pacific must be considered.
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