BUCKETS How to Bet NBA MVP
Oct 6, 2025
Joe Dellera, an NBA betting expert and host of the Cash That podcast, dives deep into MVP predictions for the upcoming season. He highlights Shea Gilgeous-Alexander as the frontrunner due to scoring and minutes concerns. The duo debates Jokic’s conditioning and Luka's potential paths to MVP success. They also explore long shots like Jalen Brunson and Donovan Mitchell, emphasizing value bets. Wembanyama's upside and the implications of trades for Giannis add intrigue to their analysis, making this a must-listen for betting enthusiasts!
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Typical MVP Profile
- MVP winners usually need top-three seeds, ~50+ wins, and strong counting/advanced stats.
- Voter leanings toward age mean 28 is safe; 30+ becomes a tougher sell historically.
Use A Three-Tier Betting Plan
- If you want one bet structure, pick one under +500, one mid (+500–+2000), and one longshot above +2000.
- Joe Dellera recommended splitting bets by those risk bands to cover value across outcomes.
Jokić: Analytics Versus Workload
- Nikola Jokić remains analytically dominant but aging and workload are risk factors.
- Adding Cam Johnson and Bruce Brown diversifies Denver and could reduce Jokić's counting stats despite improving team ceiling.