War on the Rocks How Ukraine Can Win the Peace: A Conversation with Stephen Kotkin
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Aug 25, 2023 
Stephen Kotkin discusses the ongoing offensive in Ukraine, the false shortcuts to ending the war, analyzing the possibility of extending the war, challenges faced by Ukraine, and the pursuit of avoiding a wider war. He also explores the concept of victory for Ukraine and the challenges of achieving an enduring peace.
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No Quick Victory Shortcut
- Russia's army did not disintegrate as many predicted, complicating a quick victory for Ukraine.
- Victory on the battlefield alone does not guarantee a lasting peace due to enduring grievances and insurgency risks.
Winning Peace, Not Just War
- Winning the war isn't enough; Ukraine must secure a lasting peace settlement.
- Taking territory like Crimea raises complex challenges involving future conflicts and population insurgency.
Counteroffensive Reality Check
- The Ukrainian counteroffensive faces tough entrenched Russian defenses and substantial challenges.
- The offensive is unlikely to rapidly reclaim Crimea or dramatically reverse the war's situation soon.