
The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Pandemic Monetary Policy and Inflation
Oct 10, 2024
Richard Clarida, former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve and a professor at Columbia University, shares his insights on pandemic monetary policy and inflation. He discusses the challenges of rising inflation and the Fed's shift to flexible average inflation targeting under his leadership. The conversation covers the importance of economic models like nowcasting, and the evolution of macroeconomic thought from Keynesian economics to more pragmatic approaches in today's complex landscape. Clarida reflects on lessons learned during critical economic moments, including the COVID-19 crisis.
01:00:25
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Quick takeaways
- Richard Clarida discusses how the inaccurate belief that inflation would be transitory highlights significant challenges in economic forecasting and policy-making.
- Clarida emphasizes the evolution from traditional Keynesian economics to New Keynesian models, showcasing their relevance in guiding contemporary monetary policy.
Deep dives
The Inflation Overshoot and Its Implications
The episode discusses the initial belief that the inflation overshoot experienced in mid-2021 would be transitory, which has proven to be inaccurate. This acknowledgment underscores the challenges faced by economists, including those at the Federal Reserve, as they reassess their inflation forecasts and policy responses. The guests point out that this misjudgment was widespread among economists, emphasizing the importance of reflection and acknowledgment of errors in the field. Understanding the factors that led to this oversight is crucial for refining future economic policy and forecasting methods.
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