Join Matt and Michael as they analyze the tight screenplay races, debate Emma Stone vs. Lily Gladstone, and discuss if history plays a role in Oscar wins. Plus, get insider tips on predicting the Oscar winners and a bold prediction on 'Kung Fu Panda 4' box office numbers.
Historical patterns influence Oscar winners, expect surprises in Best Adapted Screenplay like 'Barbie'.
Industry support impacts outcomes, 'Kung Fu Panda 4' predicted strong box office opening due to franchise trust.
Deep dives
Oscars Betting Trends and Predictions
The podcast delves into Oscars betting trends and predictions. They discuss the front-runners for categories like Best Picture and Best Actor, analyzing the momentum of certain films. Topics include the likelihood of surprise wins, the influence of industry support on outcomes, and historical patterns in award results.
Barbie as an Oscar Contender
The conversation shifts to predicting Oscars winners in categories like Best Adapted Screenplay. One surprising bet is on 'Barbie' for Best Adapted Screenplay, citing its unique approach to storytelling based on an existing character. The discussion touches on Netflix's strategy for 'Barbie' and potential competition from other nominees.
Front-runners and Dark Horses
The hosts explore other Oscar categories, including Best International Feature and Best Original Screenplay. They consider the favorability of nominees like 'Society of the Snow' and 'The Holdovers' for different awards. The episode also delves into betting odds for random Oscars scenarios like celebrity interactions during performances.
Kung Fu Panda 4 Box Office Predictions
Analyzing the box office prospects of 'Kung Fu Panda 4,' the hosts anticipate a strong opening weekend due to pent-up demand for family-friendly entertainment. They compare previous film performances in the franchise and predict a higher opening gross for the latest installment, attributing its success to being a trusted animated franchise amidst a drought of kids' movies.
Matt is joined by Mosaic talent manager and Oscar enthusiast Michael Lasker to parse through the awards season chatter to find a gambling edge on the Academy Awards. Matt and Michael discuss whether anyone has a shot at defeating 'Oppenheimer,' Emma Stone vs. Lily Gladstone, the tight screenplay races, and whether history still plays a role in who wins. Matt finishes the show with a prediction about the opening weekend box office numbers for 'Kung Fu Panda 4.'
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