Sensible Medicine

This Fortnight in Medicine XVIII

Jan 28, 2026
They debate a new flu antiviral, covering trial results, timing of treatment, household transmission, costs, and comparisons with older drugs. They dig into a heart failure trial about rapid medication up-titration, questioning follow-up intensity, patient selection, and real-world applicability. The conversation centers on tradeoffs between pragmatic trials and individualized clinical care.
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INSIGHT

Baloxavir Mirrors Tamiflu On Symptoms

  • Baloxavir (Xofluza) shortens influenza symptoms by about 1–2 days, similar to oseltamivir.
  • Surrogate improvements in viral load didn’t translate into clear additional clinical benefit in that trial.
INSIGHT

Viral Load Falls Don’t Guarantee Big Gains

  • Faster viral-load decline with baloxavir didn’t yield larger clinical gains versus oseltamivir.
  • Household transmission fell modestly (13.4% to 9.5%) in a later placebo-controlled study.
ADVICE

Start Antivirals Within 48 Hours

  • Give oseltamivir or baloxavir within 48 hours of symptom onset to get meaningful benefit.
  • Beyond 48 hours, trials show little to no symptomatic improvement.
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