Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, discusses concern in markets during the potential government shutdown. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, explores the possibility of EUR-USD parity. Mike Darda, Roth MKM Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, discusses unwinding yield trades. Rep. French Hill (R) Arkansas, talks about congress averting a shutdown.
Concern, not fear, observed in markets during the potential government shutdown.
There is potential for bipartisan solutions on certain issues through collaborations between centrist Democrats and Republicans.
Deep dives
Kevin McCarthy likely to survive as Speaker of the House
Kevin McCarthy, the current Speaker of the House, is expected to survive a motion to vacate the chair. He has strong support from over 200 members of the Republican Party.
Republicans in vulnerable districts at risk due to recent events
Republicans in districts that were won by President Biden are at risk because of the recent political turmoil and perceived lack of governance.
Combining Ukraine aid and border security
There is a push to combine efforts to provide aid to Ukraine and improve border security. Republicans aim to build a consensus around funding Ukraine and implementing oversight, while also addressing concerns related to border security.
Centrist Democrats may play a larger role
Centrist Democrats could form a coalition with Republicans to influence decision-making and policy outcomes. Recent collaborations between centrist Democrats and Republicans have shown potential for bipartisan solutions on certain issues.
Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says she saw concern, not fear, in markets as the US faced a potential government shutdown. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says EUR-USD towards parity is possible. Mike Darda, Roth MKM Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says yield trades can be unwound over the course of the year if we see softer data. Rep. French Hill (R) Arkansas, discusses congress averting a US government shutdown. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance