Economist Podcasts Nasty, brutish and long? The war’s next stage
Apr 7, 2022
Marine Le Pen, the Leader of the National Rally in France, sheds light on her party's strategic shift towards a more mainstream appeal ahead of the presidential election. She discusses the key voter concerns like economic issues, identity, and immigration, while tackling the challenges of reshaping the party's image. The podcast also touches on the evolving dynamics of the Ukraine conflict, stressing the resilience of Ukraine amid international support and the critical choices facing both Ukraine and its allies.
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Russia's Strategic Shift
- Russia's retreat from Kyiv suggests a shift in strategy, not a change in ambition.
- They aim to control all of Ukraine and rewrite the international order, necessitating a long-term approach.
Russia's Military Challenges
- Russia's military, depleted and demoralized after Kyiv, faces challenges in regrouping for Donbas.
- Limited reserves and dependence on conscripts and mercenaries present further manpower issues.
Ukraine's Counteroffensive Window
- Ukraine has a window of opportunity to counterattack as Russia redeploys, bolstered by Western arms shipments.
- While some forces must defend Kyiv, Ukraine can likely mobilize units eastward faster than Russia.