Wes Crill, Senior Investment Director at Dimensional Fund Advisors, dives deep into the world of factor investing. He discusses the advantages of targeting small and value stocks to potentially boost returns. Crill emphasizes the importance of long-term strategies and historical performance in navigating market volatility. He also explores the dynamics of small versus large cap investing and the relevance of the classic 60-40 portfolio model for retirees. Additionally, he sheds light on international price-to-earnings ratios, advocating for global diversification.
Factor investing aims to achieve higher returns by focusing on characteristics like size and value, though it involves increased complexity and volatility management.
Global diversification is essential for investors to capture risk premiums effectively, especially considering the potential biases towards U.S. equities over undervalued international opportunities.
Deep dives
Understanding Factor Investing
Factor investing aims to achieve higher returns than traditional market investments by focusing on specific characteristics of securities, such as size, value, and profitability. Unlike index fund investing, which seeks to replicate market benchmarks, factor investing involves strategically selecting and overweighting certain securities to potentially yield better investment returns. Historical data supports this strategy, showing significant average return premiums of 2% to 4% per year for small-cap and value stocks. However, capturing these premiums in real-world scenarios is complex and requires a thorough understanding of portfolio design, management, and trading.
Volatility and Expected Returns
Investors pursuing factor investing should be aware of the relationship between expected returns and volatility. Tilting towards small-cap stocks can increase volatility, while tilting towards high-profitability stocks may actually reduce it. When combining different factors, an integrated approach can minimize the overall volatility while still enhancing returns. Historically, premiums have shown the potential for higher expected returns across various market segments and geographies, suggesting that these strategies can be effective if applied judiciously.
Long-Term Strategy Considerations
Timely recognition of factor strategies involves acknowledging potential periods of underperformance, especially with value investing, which has lagged behind growth stocks at times. Historical data reveals that value stocks have underperformed relative to growth in approximately 20% of rolling 10-year periods, indicating that patience and tolerance for temporary underperformance are crucial for long-term investors. The reward for sticking with these strategies, akin to tolerating varying spice levels in cooking, may lead to appreciating the higher expected returns over time. Investors should carefully evaluate their willingness to accept these fluctuations when deciding on factor tilting in their portfolios.
Global Diversification and Small Cap Premiums
The importance of global diversification manifests when considering the potential bias toward U.S. equities versus international markets, particularly when U.S. growth stocks exhibit high valuations. Understanding PE ratios and buying opportunities in undervalued international stocks can enhance portfolio performance and mitigate risks associated with domestic market downturns. Additionally, small caps continue to hold potential for capturing risk premiums, despite shifts toward private equity and changes in market trends. Investors should maintain a balanced exposure to both domestic and international small-cap stocks to effectively harvest value and size premiums.
Wes Crill, Senior Investment Director & VP at Dimensional Fund Advisors answers questions about factor investing: pursuing the small and value risk premiums for the chance to earn a higher investment return.
The John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy is a 501(c)3 nonprofit organization. At Boglecenter.net/donate, your tax-deductible donations are greatly appreciated.
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