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HS104: How Long Should Your Planning Horizon Be?

May 20, 2025
This discussion navigates the complexities of planning horizons in IT amidst fast-paced changes. It questions the adequacy of a three-year plan when agile strategies advocate for flexibility. The impact of rising operational costs and AI integration on budgeting brings attention to the human touch needed in tech decisions. Caution is urged in innovating blindly with new technologies, showcasing the risks through humor. Overall, it emphasizes the balance between strategic foresight and adaptability in an unpredictable world.
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INSIGHT

IT Planning Horizon Dilemma

  • The conventional 3-year IT planning horizon faces tension from rapid tech changes like AI.
  • Some IT tasks require multi-year views despite pressures for shorter timelines.
ADVICE

Use Stable Tech Principles

  • Base your strategy on stable technology principles that include conditions to change.
  • Define scenarios, such as cloud usage exceptions, to adapt to geopolitical or cost shifts.
INSIGHT

AI Complements, Not Replaces Humans

  • AI won't fully replace skilled IT workers soon due to quality and curation demands.
  • AI complements human work through layered cooperation but requires expensive skilled oversight.
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