Guest speaker Anthony Walsh joins the hosts to discuss the history of artificial intelligence, the questionable strategy of investing in revolutionary technology, personal experiences with real estate investing, retirement risks and benefits, common misconceptions about real estate, and the impact of opioids depicted in the Netflix series 'Painkiller'.
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insights INSIGHT
AI's Hype Cycles Don't Guarantee Investor Gains
AI has gone through repeated hype cycles and 'winters' since the 1960s, with real innovation but frequent over-excitement.
Revolutionary tech often spurs short-term bubbles despite delivering long-term infrastructure and progress.
insights INSIGHT
Revolutions Often Create Bubbles, Not Guaranteed Returns
Technological revolutions reliably produce asset-price bubbles that attract novice investors and later mean reversion.
Buying thematic tech stocks at peak optimism often leads to poor investor outcomes.
insights INSIGHT
Why Bubbles Repeat: Rational And Irrational Forces
Two theoretical models explain bubbles: a rational equilibrium model and an irrational extrapolation model driven by novice investors.
Both models, plus attention-driven trading, help explain recurring technology booms and busts.
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AI is not new and financial mis-education is rife. These are two ideas that form the foundation of this episode, which features insights from Ben Felix, Mark McGrath, and guest speaker Anthony Walsh. To start our conversation, we explore the history of artificial intelligence and what it might mean for the future and beyond. During this Mark to Market segment, Mark McGrath shares his experience of owning property and becoming a landlord before we look back on Episode 155 with Don Ezra, where he revealed his thoughts on planning for life after work. Anthony Walsh, author of People Are Lying To You About Money joins us to discuss his efforts to remedy the lack of financial literacy among everyday people, how he approaches financial planning as a risk-averse person, and his move from lean FI to Coast Fi. He also shares his thoughts on the relative value of money, the importance of planning according to financial wellness and health, and more. Join us today to hear all this and so much more!
Key Points From This Episode:
(0:04:07) The cycles of AI development, excitement, and disappointment in technological history.
(0:15:01) How technology bubbles impact investors and why investing in revolutionary technology is a questionable strategy.
(0:18:50) The paradox of skill and how it applies to investment strategy.
(0:23:40) Mark to Market Segment with Mark McGrath on real estate and rentals.
(0:34:50) Looking back on Episode 155 with Don Ezra on planning for life after work.
(0:37:03) Introducing today's guest: Anthony Walsh, who wrote People Are Lying To You About Money.
(0:40:17) Four types of lies people tell about money and why most people are financially illiterate.
(0:48:46) How Anthony navigates financial planning as a risk-averse person.
(0:53:25) What motivated his move from Lean FI to Coast FI and the relative value of money.
(0:55:10) The importance of planning according to financial wellness and health.
(0:57:19) The after-show; shows and series your hosts have been watching and a book recommendation.
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