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The Human Action Podcast

Why Price Deflation Doesn't Hinder Investment

Mar 14, 2025
The discussion tackles the fear that price deflation could stifle lending and investment. It emphatically argues that recent trends in cryptocurrencies and precious metals, like Bitcoin and gold, offer a different perspective. Examples such as wine production illustrate how falling prices can still lead to robust returns. The conversation also prompts a reassessment of traditional economic views, suggesting that a shrinking monetary supply could coexist with viable investment opportunities.
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Quick takeaways

  • Deflation does not inhibit investment as demonstrated by continued consumer spending on technology despite falling prices.
  • The health of the economy can improve with deflation if real output increases, challenging the notion that price decreases signify economic trouble.

Deep dives

Understanding Deflation and Its Impact on Investment

Deflation refers to the decrease in the general price level of goods and services, which raises concerns about its implications for investment. The fear is that if prices continually fall, consumers might decide to delay purchases, anticipating even lower prices in the future. However, this perspective is flawed, as demonstrated by the example of technology, where consumers continue to buy computers despite their prices decreasing over time. Thus, the perceived disincentive to spend money during periods of deflation does not necessarily hinder purchasing behavior.

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