Crystal Ennis and Nicolas Blarel discuss India's evolving Middle East policy and its response to the Israel-Palestine conflict. They explore Modi's initial support for Israel, changing positions of the Congress party, and India's envy towards Israel's security capabilities. The podcast also highlights the historical context of India's relationship with Israel, their defense partnership, and the potential implications for India's Middle East relations.
India has shifted its Middle East policy and embraced closer ties with Israel, accompanied by a desire to diversify defense partnerships.
India's initial position on the Israel-Palestine issue was shaped by its own decolonization process and a federal solution with guaranteed minority religious rights for the Jewish population.
Alongside the evolving relationship with Israel, India has deepened ties with Gulf Arab countries for energy, economic, and strategic partnerships.
Deep dives
India's evolving position on the Israel-Hamas conflict
India has taken a noteworthy position in the aftermath of the Hamas attacks on Israel, leaning into its newfound strategic embrace of Israel. This shift in India's Middle East policy has been accompanied by Modi's personal history with Israel and the desire to diversify defense partnerships. India has become the largest export market for Israeli defense products and the two countries have engaged in joint production and development of defense systems. However, India also seeks to maintain and deepen ties with Gulf Arab countries. The future trajectory of India's relationships with Israel and the Gulf will depend on factors such as terrorism concerns, regional dynamics, and economic interests.
India's historical position on Israel-Palestine relations
India's initial position on the Israel-Palestine issue was shaped by its own decolonizing process and was in support of a federal solution with guaranteed minority religious rights for the Jewish population. However, India did not establish diplomatic ties with Israel until 1992. Prior to that, India supported Arab states unconditionally, which was criticized for not aligning with India's own interests. The shift towards normalization was facilitated by the Oslo peace process, economic liberalization, and the need for alternative defense suppliers after the dissolution of the USSR. This led to closer defense ties and the provision of high-end technology from Israel.
India's engagement with Gulf Arab countries
Alongside its evolving relationship with Israel, India has also deepened ties with Gulf Arab countries. This has been driven by factors such as energy ties, a large Indian diaspora, and the desire to diversify and expand economic and strategic partnerships. India has sought to attract investments from Gulf sovereign funds, develop trade relations, and enhance defense cooperation. This outreach has been met with success, with the UAE and Saudi Arabia being among India's top commercial partners. While maintaining and balancing these relationships, India also aims to decouple Gulf countries' support for Pakistan on bilateral issues, including Kashmir.
India's defense partnership with Israel
Israel has emerged as an important defense partner for India, providing spare parts, technology, and engaging in joint production. India has sought Israeli defense equipment as a reliable supplier, especially in the context of its diversification efforts beyond reliance on Russian-made hardware. Israel's provision of high-end technology, such as missile defense systems and weaponized drones, has given India a qualitative edge in its defense capabilities. As India aims to upgrade its defense systems, Israel's role in India's defense architecture is likely to continue to grow.
India's shifting positions on Israel-Palestine votes
India's voting patterns on Israel-Palestine issues at the UN General Assembly have undergone a shift under the Modi government. While past governments were often perceived as pro-Palestine, India's current approach seems to be more case-by-case evaluation of voting merits, often leaning towards supporting Israel or abstaining. Factors such as the perceived threat of terrorism and regional security dynamics, along with the desire to balance relationships with Israel and Gulf Arab countries, have influenced India's voting decisions. The future trajectory of India's voting patterns will depend on a nuanced assessment of specific issues and interests.