7am

The fall of Assad: What's next for Syria?

Dec 11, 2024

Gregg Carlstrom, the Middle East correspondent for The Economist, shares insights on the seismic changes in Syria following the decline of Bashar al-Assad's regime. He discusses the emotional aftermath as citizens celebrate amidst a backdrop of chaos and uncertainty. The conversation also covers the evolution of the rebel group HTS and the complex challenges of establishing governance in post-Assad Syria. Additionally, Carlstrom analyzes the shifting geopolitical landscape, including the potential roles of Turkey and Iran in this new era.

16:57

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Gregg Carlstrom

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Quick takeaways

The sudden collapse of the Assad regime marks a pivotal shift in power dynamics within Syria, leading to widespread celebrations among citizens but raising concerns about governance under rebel leadership.

The outcome of the Syrian conflict enhances Turkey's influence in the region while significantly reducing Iran's presence, indicating a shift in regional alliances and potential instability.

Deep dives

Rapid Fall of the Assad Regime

The Assad regime in Syria collapsed unexpectedly within a matter of days, following a prolonged civil war that lasted over a decade. Rebel forces, particularly the group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), launched a surprise offensive on November 27, quickly overwhelming regime troops who had abandoned their posts. This swift military success culminated in mass celebrations in Damascus, where citizens tore down statues of Assad and rejoiced at the end of an era characterized by oppression and brutality. The once seemingly unassailable regime fell apart as its soldiers melted away, leaving behind uniforms on the streets, symbolizing the sudden shift of power in the country.

Intro

4min

HTS: Transformation and Governance in Idlib

5min

Geopolitical Shifts Following Assad's Fall

4min

Challenges and Prospects of Governance in Post-Assad Syria

2min

Syria's Unbelievable Shift: Joy and Disbelief in a Nation

3min

This week, on the streets of Damascus, there were signs of an army in retreat – tanks abandoned and Syrian army uniforms scattered on the roads where soldiers had torn them off.

It reflected the speed at which rebel forces had taken over Syria, with Bashar al-Assad’s brutal reign finally coming to an end after 13 years of civil war.

As celebrations spread across the nation, the Syrian people face the task of rebuilding a country now in the hands of rebel groups.

Today, Middle East correspondent for The Economist Gregg Carlstrom on Syria’s path forward and the implications for an increasingly unstable region.

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Guest: Middle East correspondent for The Economist Gregg Carlstrom.

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