The Jacob Shapiro Podcast Measuring Risk
6 snips
Jan 13, 2026 
Parag Khanna, founder of AlphaGeo and a leading geopolitical strategist, engages in a fascinating discussion about resilience over dominance in today's world. He emphasizes the importance of adaptability amidst global disruptions, using examples from Venezuela and Greenland. Parag explores how Asia is cultivating self-reliance and contrasts instability in Latin America with North Korea. He also offers insights into Africa's integration challenges and proposes a provocative view that devolution might foster peace more effectively than democracy.
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Resilience Over Dominance
- Resilience matters more than dominance when assessing states' futures.
- The Henley index scores countries by risk exposure and adaptive capacity to measure resilience.
Venezuela: A Personal Worst
- Parag calls Venezuela the worst place he's visited based on lawless criminality and personal danger.
- He contrasts it with other conflict zones where negotiation or payment can often avert harm.
Climate Creates New Geopolitical Actors
- Climate change can create new strategic states, exemplified by Greenland's thaw and resources.
- Parag argues Greenland may logically integrate with North America rather than remain a colony.
