Unsupervised Learning Ep 51: Former Chief Research Officer of OpenAI Bob McGrew - What Comes Next for AI?
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Dec 18, 2024 In this engaging discussion, Bob McGrew, the former Chief Research Officer at OpenAI, shares his rich background in AI and product management. He delves into the future of AI, covering the integration of robotics into daily life and the challenges of AI pre-training. McGrew also emphasizes the importance of human oversight in AI systems, the role of game theory in social sciences, and his reflections on transitioning from OpenAI while nurturing future talent. His insights reveal the evolving landscape of AI and its potential impact on our world.
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Inside vs. Outside View of AI
- External perspectives see rapid AI progress, while internal perspectives understand the limitations.
- True progress requires significant increases in compute, often achieved by building new data centers, a slow, multi-year process.
AI Progress in 2025
- Expect different types of progress in AI during 2025.
- Focus will shift to test-time compute, allowing models to spend more time generating answers.
New Form Factors for AI
- New form factors are needed to fully utilize advanced AI models like O1.
- These models excel in structured, long-term tasks like programming or policy writing, but everyday use cases haven't fully emerged.