Political Currency

What if: Obama versus Trump 2028?

9 snips
Jan 5, 2026
What if Brexit had gone the other way? The hosts explore a potential Tory civil war and shifts in party leadership. They dive into the repercussions of Neil Kinnock's victory in 1992 on Black Wednesday and economic policies. Fast forward, they ponder whether Donald Trump can legally run for a third term in 2028, and if Barack Obama would make a strong comeback against him. Fresh faces or seasoned figures? The debate unfolds about the best Democratic candidates to challenge Trump in this hypothetical political showdown.
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INSIGHT

Remain Win Wouldn't End Tory Split

  • A narrow Remain win in 2016 would still have intensified Tory civil war and sped up leadership change.
  • Major party splits and claims of betrayal would likely have produced a Eurosceptic leader sooner, possibly Boris Johnson.
ADVICE

Acknowledge Grievances And Co‑opt Opponents

  • In a leadership fight after a divisive referendum, acknowledge public discontent and offer reforms inside existing frameworks.
  • Deploy prominent Brexiteers on your team to neutralise outsider challengers like Boris Johnson.
INSIGHT

Kinnock PM Would Have Faced ERM Shock

  • A hypothetical Kinnock victory in 1992 would likely have accelerated the ERM crisis and produced political damage for Labour.
  • That economic shock could have prevented the later emergence of New Labour and reshaped Conservative leadership dynamics.
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