TRIGGERnometry The Untold Story of the Gaza Ceasefire - Thomas Small
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Oct 19, 2025 Thomas Small, a historian and filmmaker known for his insights on Middle Eastern geopolitics, dives deep into the complexities surrounding the Gaza ceasefire. He discusses the behind-the-scenes negotiations facilitated by Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt from the onset of conflict. Small highlights the significant impacts of Israel's Doha strike and examines the shifting alliances in the region. He also delves into Qatar's pivotal role, the strategic visions of Turkey and Saudi Arabia, and the ongoing challenges of dismantling Hamas while exploring long-term peace prospects.
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Doha Strike Reshaped Regional Alliances
- The September 9 attack on Hamas leaders in Doha dramatically shifted regional diplomacy and furious U.S. reaction forced rapid recalibration.
- Israel timed the strike to avoid U.S. warning channels, which deeply strained American trust and Gulf relations.
Alliance Strain Prompted Rapid Diplomacy
- The Doha strike undermined U.S. influence and accelerated Gulf states’ moves to diversify security arrangements, including unusual Pakistan–Saudi cooperation.
- That forced public Israeli apologies and hurried diplomacy to repair alliances and push a ceasefire.
Speculation About Saudi Nuclear Coverage
- Thomas Small relays Eamon Dean's claim that Saudi Arabia may already host nuclear warheads via Pakistan as early as 2020.
- This anecdote explains Gulf fears driving rapid security realignments after regional strikes.
