Josh Pate's College Football Show

Week 4 Upset Alerts + My Updated Top 25 & Cole Cubelic

15 snips
Sep 19, 2025
Cole Cubelic, a seasoned college football analyst and former Auburn player, joins to dive into all things SEC. They discuss potential upset alerts for week 4, examining matchups with teams like Illinois and Indiana. Cole provides insights on the quarterback landscape in the SEC and shares thoughts on Florida's Billy Napier. The conversation also highlights surprising performances, including Tennessee's rise and Miami's defense. Plus, there's a breakdown of Josh's updated top 25 rankings and key game predictions!
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INSIGHT

Upset Alerts Use Context Not Names

  • Josh Pate flags multiple upset candidates and ranks risk with a numeric 'upset alert' scale.
  • He prioritizes looking beyond reputation to recent performance and matchup specifics when sizing up upsets.
ADVICE

Exploit Misleading Finals In Lines

  • Take Illinois plus the points against Indiana when the spread is inflated by a misleading previous final.
  • Use your model to exploit lines where public perception outweighs fundamentals.
INSIGHT

Commissioner Poll Prioritizes Field Results

  • Josh Pate's weekly Commissioner's Poll emphasizes watching games and results over preseason bias.
  • He intentionally diverges from AP rankings to reward on-field performance and context.
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