Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

'Highly Likely' We'll See A True Bear Market In 2026 | New Harbor Financial

20 snips
Dec 28, 2025
John Lodra and Mike Preston of New Harbor Financial dive into their market predictions for the upcoming year. They discuss signs of volatility and the potential for a bear market in 2026. The duo touches on tactical hedging, the importance of sector rotation, and the potential of precious metals, particularly silver and gold. They also emphasize the role of financial advisors in managing investments and promoting purposeful wealth usage. Plus, they share insights into helping clients navigate emotional aspects of finance.
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INSIGHT

Indicators Show Short‑Term Bullish Breadth

  • New Harbor's indicators are solidly bullish and the market recently broadened beyond mega-cap leaders.
  • They cautiously increased equity exposure from 45% to 47.5% while keeping strict downside discipline.
ADVICE

Sell Into A Rapid Squeeze Higher

  • Do not get aggressive after a squeeze higher; treat any big short-term rally as a cue to de-risk.
  • Consider selling into rapid 5–8% spikes and add hedges if the market goes vertical.
INSIGHT

Stealth Rotation Under The Hood

  • Market leadership is rotating beneath the surface away from hyperscalers toward materials, energy, and healthcare.
  • John Lodra says subsector signals show metals, mining, and services gaining momentum while tech loses relative strength.
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