Adam Hise, managing director of storage risk solution at Ascend Analytics, discusses the potential and risk profile of the energy storage market. He addresses the economics, investor class, and revenue risk transfer structures for energy storage. The podcast also covers the market adoption of new products and obtaining information about storage development.
Efficient risk management strategies are crucial to attract low-risk investors and build the required storage capacity for an orderly energy transition.
The energy storage market needs innovative solutions and more efficient risk transfer mechanisms to attract a broader range of investors as deployment increases and super-normal returns decrease.
Deep dives
The Need for Rapid Energy Storage Deployment
The energy storage market needs to grow rapidly to achieve an orderly energy transition. While regulatory support and economic viability are in place, the current pace and scale of deployment hinder this transition. The risk profile of storage assets poses a challenge to attracting infrastructure investors who have invested heavily in renewable generation. The expectation of storage deployment fails to consider the risk appetite of investors, which is crucial for building the required storage capacity. More efficient risk management strategies are needed to appeal to low-risk investors.
Challenges in the Energy Storage Market
The energy storage market faces the risk of decreasing super-normal returns as deployment increases. This is similar to what happened in the wind and solar markets. The high-risk, high-return investors who have supported the merchant market for storage may no longer find it attractive once the returns decrease. To attract a broader range of investors, innovative solutions are required. Current structures such as tolling arrangements do not fit the needs of private equity investors or the natural evolution of the storage sector. More efficient risk transfer mechanisms are necessary.
Introducing Risk Transfer Structures
A new product is being developed to address the risk management needs in energy storage projects. The aim is to offer revenue risk transfer structures that compensate risk takers, such as insurance and reinsurance companies, through upfront premiums and potential ongoing upside sharing. These structures are designed to align with the needs of private equity investors and infrastructure investors. By providing more certainty and ways to monetize the Investment Tax Credit, this product can increase debt financing and attract tax equity investors. The product offers revenue puts and insurance policies, with credit ratings ranging from A- to A.
Adam Hise, managing director of storage risk solution at Ascend Analytics, joins us to discuss the size and position of the energy storage market, the potential of that market, and Ascend’s new revenue risk product for energy storage.
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