Special Situations are Fun: Heavy Debt, Unidentified Moats, Lumpy Revenue, Uranium with Jacob Rowe, Founder and CIO of Rogue Funds
Jul 30, 2024
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Jacob Rowe, Founder and CIO of Rogue Funds, shares his insights on microcap investing and special situations. He discusses the challenges of investing in companies with heavy debt and fluctuating revenues, drawing on personal experiences. Jacob emphasizes the need for thorough analysis to uncover mispriced opportunities, particularly in the uranium market amid geopolitical tensions. The conversation also touches on the importance of crafting a strong investment thesis, highlighting how writing can clarify and shape investment decisions.
Jacob Rowe emphasizes the significance of upcoming catalysts in microcap investing, which can dramatically change a company's trajectory.
Roe's strategy involves focusing on companies with heavy debt that possess turnaround potential, highlighting the importance of management capabilities.
He advocates for new investors to prioritize understanding financial statements and developing a narrative for their investment theses.
Deep dives
Overview of Upcoming Conference
The Planet Microcap conference is scheduled for September 25 and 26, 2024, at the Fairmont Waterfront in Vancouver, highlighting a pivotal gathering for microcap investors. Key stakeholders, including noteworthy speakers and presenting companies, have been announced, suggesting an enriching event for attendees. This conference aims to enhance investor knowledge and networking, which is crucial in the microcap sector. Registration information is provided for interested participants.
Jacob Roe's Investment Philosophy
Jacob Roe, founder and CIO of Rogue Funds, discusses his investment strategy focused on special situations, which often characterize the microcap landscape. He emphasizes the importance of identifying upcoming catalysts that can significantly shift a company's fortunes, showcasing how investing in lesser-known stocks can yield substantial returns. His personal journey into investing began in high school, driven by a curiosity about the stock market and a passion for research. Through continuous learning and practical experience, Roe developed a keen understanding of value investing principles and special situations.
Investment Strategy and Portfolio Focus
Roe's investment strategy involves concentrating on companies with high debt that present potential turnaround opportunities, despite their seemingly precarious situations. He highlighted notable cases where such companies, like Consolidated Communications, benefited from supportive private equity involvement, helping to mitigate bankruptcy risks. By focusing on a select number of positions, typically between 10 to 15, he aims to conduct thorough analyses and remain vigilant about market changes. This focused approach allows him to navigate the complexities of microcap investing effectively.
Understanding Risk and Catalysts
A critical aspect of Roe’s strategy involves analyzing the motivations behind a company's debt levels and assessing management's capability to execute turnaround plans. He pointed out that companies with a clear plan for utilizing their debt can turn into lucrative investments, whereas poorly managed companies with escalating debt lead to higher risks. This insight stresses the importance of due diligence when evaluating potential investments. For instance, recent anecdotal evidence in the uranium sector illustrates the complexities of navigating geopolitical risks while seeking potential gains.
Advice for New Investors
Roe encourages new investors to immerse themselves in reading and understanding financial statements, emphasizing the necessity of grasping the fundamentals of investing. He advocates for developing a narrative around an investment thesis, including an analysis of why a company is positioned as it is within the market. The emphasis on patience is crucial, as it often takes time for theses to materialize, which can yield significant returns if investors allow their investments to develop. Essentially, the journey involves both learning from successes and failures, fostering growth in investment acumen.
My guest on the show today is Jacob Rowe, Founder and CIO of Rogue Funds. We met for the first time at my conference in Vegas, and invited Jacob on the show to share with you all his investing philosophy and strategy. Our focus today is special situations: I like to joke sometimes that most MicroCap investing theses are likely special situations, where you're making a calculated bet on an upcoming catalyst, for example. Today's episode, we cover quite a few examples of what makes MicroCaps and special situations synonymous.
To attend our next investor conference, the Planet MicroCap Showcase: VANCOUVER in association with Small Cap Discoveries, taking place at the Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver on September 25-26, 2024, please register here: https://planetmicrocapshowcase.com/signup
Planet MicroCap Podcast is on YouTube! All archived episodes and each new episode will be posted on the Planet MicroCap YouTube channel. I’ve provided the link in the description if you’d like to subscribe. You’ll also get the chance to watch all our Video Interviews with management teams, educational panels from the conference, as well as expert commentary from some familiar guests on the podcast.
The Planet MicroCap Podcast is brought to you by SNN Incorporated, The Official MicroCap News Source, and the Planet MicroCap Review Magazine, the leading magazine in the MicroCap market.
You can Follow the Planet MicroCap Podcast on Twitter @BobbyKKraft
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