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Bloomberg Surveillance

Instant Reaction: Jay Powell on Fed Policy

Sep 20, 2023
Jay Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, discusses the key points of the FOMC decision, including maintaining a higher for longer posture, combating inflation, and upcoming focal points for the Fed. Analysis of Jay Powell's stance on cutting interest rates, potential recession, and market fluctuations. Insights into the impact of Powell's remarks on the financial markets and a preview of upcoming economic indicators and Fed actions.
18:54

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Fed Chair Jay Powell emphasized a cautious approach to rate cuts, indicating potential future rate hikes to break the back of inflation.
  • Analysts anticipate a modest recession leading to rate cuts, driven by the Fed's goal to balance monetary policy restrictions without becoming excessively restrictive.

Deep dives

Summary of the FOMC Decision and Economic Projections

During the press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized maintaining a higher for longer posture, indicating a cautious approach to rate cuts. Despite optimistic projections for GDP growth and lower unemployment rates, Powell stated that a soft landing is not his base case. Economists suggest that Powell's remarks indicate a willingness to break the back of inflation, implying potential future rate hikes. Event risks such as student loan repayments, a possible government shutdown, and excess savings depletion could impact the Fed's decision-making in upcoming meetings.

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