De-dollarization is happening faster than most people realize, with the dollar's market share dropping from 73% to 47% within a year due to factors like sanctions and countries seeking alternatives like the euro and gold.
The alarming state of the US banking system is highlighted, with the recent collapse of First Republic and the potential use of the money printer by the Federal Reserve to bail out troubled banks, leading to rising inflation, a deteriorating economy, and increased debt burden for the American public.
Deep dives
De-Dollarization and Loss of Dollar's Market Share
The podcast episode discusses the accelerating pace of de-dollarization and the decline in the market share of the US dollar. Currency analyst Stephen Jen warns that de-dollarization is happening faster than most people realize. He points out that the dollar's share went from 73% in 2001 to 55% in 2021 and dropped to 47% within a year. The loss of market share is attributed to the impact of sanctions, such as the freezing of Russian central bank dollars, which caused countries to seek alternatives like the euro and gold. The podcast highlights the potential consequences of the continued decrease in the dollar's dominance, including soaring inflation, a decline in the American standard of living, and a reduced global role for the US economy.
Critical State of the US Banking System
The podcast points out the alarming state of the US banking system, focusing on the recent collapse of First Republic as an example. It highlights the reckless Federal Reserve rate hikes that resulted in significant losses for banks, particularly in their bond portfolios. This, along with the increasing number of bank failures, suggests a precarious situation for the entire banking system. The episode underscores the possibility of the Federal Reserve becoming the FDIC, potentially using the money printer to bail out troubled banks. The implications include rising inflation, a further deteriorating economy, and increased debt burden for the American public.
Job Losses, Inflation, and Economic Slowdown
The podcast discusses the concerning economic indicators, including job losses, rising inflation, and a significant slowdown in economic growth. The data reveals a drop in job openings by two-thirds, indicating the effects of the Federal Reserve's rate hikes on the labor market. The episode also highlights the misleading nature of official unemployment statistics, which exclude individuals living in vulnerable conditions but not actively seeking employment. The impact of the Federal Reserve's policies, aimed at managing inflation, is questioned as the possibility of stagflation arises. The combination of high inflation and a weakening job market could have severe consequences for the American economy and the well-being of its citizens.
- De-dollarization Flight to Euro, yen, and gold - Credit Crunch predicts Serious Recession - Central Banks blame inflation on Workers, Capitalism - Dollar Threats from China, Argentina, Africa - Stagflation coming to US and Europe - First Republic Bites the Dust - Fake Job Numbers are getting Worse