Ukraine Is Selling American Weapons to Mexican Drug Cartels. Col. Daniel Davis on How to Stop It.
Feb 10, 2025
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Col. Daniel Davis, a retired U.S. Army colonel and military analyst, reveals alarming insights into American weapons allegedly being sold by Ukraine to Mexican drug cartels. He discusses the implications this has for U.S. security and policy. The conversation dives into the pivotal role of Crimea in the ongoing conflict and emphasizes Ukraine's dependence on U.S. support. Davis also critiques military leadership choices and advocates for needed reforms while exploring the broader consequences of these geopolitical dynamics.
The podcast highlights how Ukraine's failure to implement the Minsk agreements led to prolonged conflict and distrust, exacerbating the war.
Col. Daniel Davis argues that U.S. military support is critical for Ukraine, complicating its autonomy and prolonging the loss of life.
Concerns about U.S. military readiness are raised, indicating that outdated tactics could jeopardize future engagements with peer adversaries.
Deep dives
Trump's Promise on Ending Wars
Donald Trump campaigned heavily on the promise to end what he termed 'nonsense wars,' including the conflict in Ukraine, asserting that he could resolve it swiftly upon taking office. This ambitious claim raises the critical question of how he would achieve such a rapid de-escalation, especially given the complex geopolitical landscape shaped by decisions from previous administrations. The podcast highlights that the roots of the current conflict could have been addressed long before it escalated, particularly through the Minsk agreements which, if implemented, could have mitigated hostilities and established political protections for Russian-speaking populations in Ukraine. The failure of Ukraine to adopt the required constitutional changes stipulated in these agreements, however, undermined efforts for peaceful resolution and set the stage for further conflict.
The Minsk Agreements and Missed Opportunities
The podcast discusses how the Minsk agreements, intended to bring stability to the region, were never fully implemented, particularly from the Ukrainian side, leading to a prolonged conflict. Key provisions required Ukraine to ensure autonomy and rights for Russian-speaking individuals in the eastern regions, yet Ukraine's failure to enact these changes created distrust and continued violence along the border. Both former German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President François Hollande later admitted that their focus was on buying time to strengthen Ukraine's defenses rather than genuinely pursuing peace through the agreements. Had these provisions been honored, it posits, the war in Ukraine could potentially have been avoided altogether.
The Stakes of Crimea
The discussion delves deeply into the strategic significance of Crimea, historically viewed as part of Russia and annexed by Moscow following a controversial plebiscite. The podcast argues that the annexation is rooted in historical claims and reflects the demographic realities of a predominantly ethnic Russian population in Crimea, which voted overwhelmingly to join Russia after political upheaval in Ukraine. Consequently, the claim emerges that the continued insistence by Ukrainian officials to reclaim Crimea heightens tensions and complicates peace negotiations. Understanding these geopolitical stakes is critical, as ignoring the realities of regional sentiments may lead to further escalation rather than resolution.
The Consequences of Military Involvement
As the podcast progresses, it highlights the misconception that the Ukrainian military operates independently in the conflict; rather, it points out that U.S. military support and strategic decisions are pivotal in shaping Ukraine's approach to warfare. The discussion draws attention to the significant loss of life and resources, arguing that many Ukrainian deaths could have been avoided if previous opportunities for negotiation had been seized when the military situation was more favorable for Ukraine. The podcast also critiques the responsibility placed on Ukrainian leadership to engage without recognizing the influential role of U.S. policy-makers and military aid. Compounding this complexity, it suggests that domestic pressures in the U.S. may prevent rational negotiation strategies from emerging.
Evaluating U.S. Military Readiness
Lastly, the podcast raises alarm about the current state of U.S. military readiness, suggesting that reliance on outdated tactics and a lack of reform could lead to dire consequences in a potential conflict with Russia. Comparisons are drawn with historical conflicts, indicating that neglecting the lessons learned from recent wars has left the military unprepared for modern engagements. Errors from past leadership decisions continue to echo, and the podcast stresses the need for a substantial reevaluation of military priorities and strategies. With ongoing debates about recruitment and operational effectiveness, the concern is that without drastic changes, the U.S. could face severe disadvantages if confronted by a peer adversary.
The Ukrainian military is selling American weapons systems on the black market, including to drug cartels. This war is killing the United States. Col. Daniel Davis on how Donald Trump can end it.
(00:00) Why Crimea Is So Pivotal to the Ukraine/Russia War
(13:17) Ukraine Is Powerless Without the US
(34:16) Ukraine Selling American Weapons to Cartels