Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary

WOYM: FOMC Reaction; Growth vs Value check-in; Animal Spirits

Dec 20, 2024
Dive into the latest market dynamics as experts dissect the FOMC's impact on interest rates and its ripple effects across sectors. Explore the ongoing tug-of-war between growth and value strategies, with insights into emerging markets and currency trends. Delve into the psychology of the market, highlighting 'Animal Spirits' and speculative investments. Plus, gain a deeper understanding of sectors like semiconductors and the implications of AI on stocks like Micron. A thorough analysis that points toward investment opportunities amid fluctuating economic conditions.
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INSIGHT

FOMC Reaction and Market Outlook

  • Markets reacted negatively to the FOMC outcome, initially down 80 bps, accelerating after Powell's remarks.
  • Long-term outlook is bullish due to higher growth expectations, despite short-term bearish sentiment.
ADVICE

Focus on the 10-Year Yield

  • Watch the 10-year yield, as it influences mortgage rates and impacts market breadth expansion.
  • Higher rates negatively affect present value of securities, impacting small caps more significantly.
INSIGHT

Dollar Strength and Emerging Markets

  • The dollar is strengthening due to lower rate cut expectations, making US investments more appealing to international investors.
  • This dynamic negatively affects emerging markets.
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