The ACID Capitalist Podcast Gold’s Quantum Crash, Market Psychology and TLT added to Portfolio
10 snips
Oct 23, 2025 Explore the intriguing connection between Schrödinger's cat and market behavior, where belief influences outcomes. Delve into gold's recent volatile plunge and the implications for traders. Analyze Netflix's recent earnings amidst currency fluctuations and Tesla's dramatic market swings. Discuss the paradox of a calm index while individual stocks crash. Emphasize the importance of uncertainty in investing and the dangers of relying on immediate news. Hugh also shares insights on portfolio strategies, including his views on Bitcoin and risk management.
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Morning Rituals And Late-Night Rants
- Hendry opens from St. Barts with colorful personal routines and odd morning rituals like grinding pumpkin seeds and raw eggs into juice.
- He frames his late-night podcasting as a relief and a way to parse market madness.
Gold's VAR Shock Signals A Top
- Gold's recent sharp drop was a volatility shock that professional risk models treat as a rare VAR breach.
- Such explosions in volatility often mark a near-term top and force pros to reduce positions.
Trim After VAR Breaches
- Use VAR-style risk signals to trim large holdings when daily moves far exceed historical expectations.
- Reduce position size after sigma events to protect NAV and limit drawdowns.
