This podcast explores credit as a measure of risk in trading, discussing stop loss as a loss control mechanism and the correlation between credit received and potential loss. It explains the relationship between credit received and risk, introduces the concept of value at risk, and provides examples of calculating credit and target returns. The significance of factoring in potential losses and the use of credit received as a risk proxy are also emphasized.
The credit received in trading can be used as a proxy for the amount of risk taken, making it an important factor in determining trade size.
Considering the overall risk of the portfolio and using credit received as an indicator of risk can help traders manage their risk and avoid significant losses.
Deep dives
The Concept of Credit as a Proxy for Risk
The podcast episode discusses the concept of credit received as a proxy for risk in trading. The speaker explains that credit targeting is an important aspect of their trading style, where the annual goal is broken down into a credit target based on the projected premium capture rate. By focusing on the credit received, traders can determine how much they stand to lose from each trade, especially when using stop losses as a risk control mechanism. The credit received can be used as a mental gauge to determine the size of the trade and how much risk one is willing to take.
Sizing Trades Based on Portfolio Risk
The episode also explores the importance of considering the overall risk of the portfolio when sizing trades. Different trading instruments have varying levels of buying power reduction (BPR) and leverage, so it is essential to limit the amount of notional risk. Traders can cap their buying power at a certain percentage depending on the instrument traded. However, simply looking at the buying power used doesn't provide a clear idea of the actual risk. The speaker emphasizes that credit received is a more direct indicator of risk, as it determines the potential loss based on the stop loss mechanism.
Understanding Value at Risk and Book Size
The podcast episode delves into the concept of value at risk and its relation to book size. The speaker explains that value at risk represents the total credit carried on the books on average for each percent return sized in the strategy. By calculating the value at risk, traders can estimate the premium they hold on average and the potential realized loss if the entire book is stopped out. Sizing the strategy based on the target return allows traders to manage the risk they are comfortable with and avoid significant losses in worst-case scenarios.
How large should you size your trade? It depends on how much you are willing to lose. How much do you stand to lose? It depends on how much premium you collect. When you use a stop loss, the credit you receive becomes a proxy for the amount of risk you tare taking.
-Visit my trading page to view strategy mechanics, tradelogs and more at TheTradeBusters.com.
-Follow me on Twitter @TheTradeBuster
**Everything discussed on this podcast is for informational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
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