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The podcast discusses the new Asset Camp tool for forecasting in portfolio decision-making, the decision to leverage up or increase stock allocation in investment portfolios, and transitioning to a golden ratio style portfolio. They also address the recent performance of long-term treasury bonds as a diversification option against equities.
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Quick takeaways
- Asset Camp tool analyzes return drivers and concludes that earnings yield is a better predictor than PE ratios.
- Increasing stock allocation in a portfolio tends to have better safe withdrawal rates compared to leveraging a conservative portfolio during retirement.
Deep dives
David Stein's Asset Camp tool
David Stein recently launched an analysis tool called Asset Camp, which analyzes return drivers of stock indices. One of the interesting conclusions was that earnings yield is a better forward predictor than PE ratios. However, there are concerns about the tool's usefulness for making meaningful forecasts and portfolio decisions.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode