Establish The Run Fantasy Football How To Beat NFL Player Props with Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, and Cort Smith (Episode 621)
Sep 5, 2023
Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, and Cort Smith explore the world of NFL player prop betting in this episode. They discuss the edge in player props, utilizing projections, best books for liquidity, when to bet, differences in markets, and the importance of simulations. The speakers emphasize a blend of quantitative analysis and domain expertise as key to winning in player props. They also highlight the challenges of disguising plays to avoid restrictions and the significance of unit counts in prop betting.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5
Introduction
00:00 • 5min
The Extensive Attack Surface of Player Props in the NFL
05:00 • 6min
Approach to Winning in NFL Player Props
11:11 • 13min
The Importance of Simulations and Skepticism in Market Analysis
23:52 • 6min
Analyzing Unit Counts and Unrealistic Claims in Prop Betting
29:45 • 5min