FDD Morning Brief | feat. Robert Greenway (Oct. 18)
Oct 18, 2024
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Robert Greenway, Director of the Allison Center for National Defense at the Heritage Foundation, shares insights from his time in the Trump administration. He discusses the impact of Yahya Sinwar's death on Hamas and strategies for U.S. involvement in the region. Greenway analyzes the geopolitical implications of the Abraham Accords and military operations in Yemen. He also addresses rising anti-Semitism in the U.S., emphasizing the need for initiatives like Project Esther to combat this issue and the role of virtual currencies in financing terrorism.
The death of Yahya Sinwar significantly weakens Hamas, dismantling their military capabilities and altering the power dynamics in Gaza.
Recent U.S. military actions against Houthi proxy forces indicate a strategic shift in addressing Iranian threats across the Middle East.
Deep dives
Impact of Yahya Sinwar's Death
The death of Yahya Sinwar, the head of Hamas, marks a significant turning point in the ongoing conflict in Gaza. With his elimination, 23 out of 24 Hamas brigades have been dismantled, leading to heavy casualties among Hamas fighters and a collapse of their military infrastructure. This development is seen as a formidable blow to the organization, fundamentally altering the power dynamics within Gaza and weakening Hamas's operational capabilities. The focus now shifts to identifying the successor leadership and the potential for a power vacuum that could affect the conflict's trajectory.
U.S. Military Actions Against Iranian Proxies
Recent U.S. military strikes targeting Houthi weapons depots in Yemen demonstrate a renewed willingness to take decisive action against Iran's proxies in the region. Utilizing B-2 bombers, the U.S. aimed to convey its military capabilities directly to Iran amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Analysts suggest that these strikes are only the beginning, with calls for sustained pressure on both Hamas and Hezbollah, as well as consistent efforts to dismantle the operational structures of these groups. This strategy signifies an important shift in U.S. military posture towards recognized Iranian threats throughout the region.
Shifts in Middle Eastern Geopolitics
The recent reshuffling of leadership in Egypt, including the replacement of the intelligence chief, raises questions about the effectiveness of Egypt's approach to hostage negotiations and regional stability. This change, coupled with the fallout from Sinwar's death, shapes the broader dynamics of Middle Eastern geopolitics, especially regarding Egypt's role in managing Hamas and its affiliations. Meanwhile, U.S. strategies concerning Qatar and Turkey are under scrutiny, as these nations are viewed as potential havens for remaining Hamas leadership. A more assertive U.S. stance towards these countries could be pivotal in reshaping alliances and countering Iranian influence across the Middle East.
FDD Senior Vice President Jon Schanzer delivers timely situational updates and analysis, followed by a conversation with Robert Greenway of The Heritage Foundation, who played an instrumental role in the groundbreaking Abraham Peace Accords.