Market At Risk Of Correcting In A 'Risk-Off' Reset? | Lance Roberts

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Jan 31, 2026

Lance Roberts, portfolio manager and macro-focused market analyst, shares his risk-centered take on recent market action. He discusses the breakdown from a tight trading range and the odds of a risk-off reset. Conversation covers AI stock froth, valuation measures like PEG, sector rotations (notably energy), technical breakdowns in the S&P, and the volatile moves in gold and silver.

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INSIGHT

Risk-Off Resets Can Hit Many Assets

Markets can undergo a multi-asset 'risk-off' reset that trims 5–10% across stocks, metals and other risk assets.
Such a reset creates better entry points to deploy cash for long-term investors.

ADVICE

Prefer Fundamentals Over Narratives

Apply fundamentals over narratives and focus on valuations like PEG rather than headlines.
Buy cheaper fundamentally attractive companies instead of chasing recent winners.

ADVICE

Take Profits After Large Extensions

Trim positions when an asset extends several standard deviations above long-term averages and raise some cash.
Use that cash to buy back in when the inevitable correction creates better prices.

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Stocks have been stuck in a compressing trading range for the past several months.And recently they've broken down below it.That development, plus a number of other headwinds weighing on the markets, suggests that stocks could experience a 'risk-off reset' soon, falling substantially lower.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds for this, as well as the recent Federal Reserve guidance, growing concerns in AI stocks, the bull & bear cases for 2026, this week's gut-wrenching plunge in the precious metals, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.

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