Big Take

What Does China’s Economic Slowdown Mean For the Communist Party?

May 21, 2024
Exploring China's economic slowdown impact on individuals, businesses, and the Communist Party. Discussions on real estate collapse, trade war, and crackdown on entrepreneurs. Insights on Beijing's response to economic challenges and strategies for common prosperity. Emphasis on changing economic landscape under President Xi Jinping and diversification of growth areas like solar panels and electric vehicles.
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ANECDOTE

Huang's Economic Downturn

  • Mr. Huang, a commodity trader, thrived in pre-COVID times, buying a Shenzhen apartment and a Tesla.
  • However, he's now struggling, laying off employees and relying on his wife's income due to declining factory demand.
INSIGHT

China's Social Contract

  • The Chinese Communist Party's power rests on a social contract: less freedom for increased prosperity.
  • This contract is fraying as economic growth slows, potentially impacting the party's stability.
INSIGHT

Real Estate Crisis

  • 70% of Chinese household wealth is in real estate, currently experiencing overcapacity and speculation.
  • Evergrande's default triggered a chain reaction, impacting investor confidence and overall market sentiment.
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