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Why Bitcoin’s Next Big Move Could Be $180K, Not $80K w/ Matt Crosby

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Nov 10, 2025

Guest

Matt Crosby

Data-driven crypto analyst Matt Crosby, from Bitcoin Magazine Pro, dives into Bitcoin's market dynamics and trends. He shares insights on whether the current bull market is peaking or just catching its breath. Discussing key factors, he highlights potential moves towards $160K–$175K driven by supply and institutional liquidity. He also introduces a new on-chain metric to track long-term holder distributions, explains fractal patterns indicating extended consolidation, and warns of risks amid bullish projections.

51:01

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Episode notes

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INSIGHT

Peak Probability And Institutional Strength

Matt Crosby assigns ~30% probability we've already topped this cycle and remains medium/long-term bullish.
He cites ETF accumulation and institutional depth as reasons price resilience despite profit-taking.

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INSIGHT

New Cycle Character: Explosive Moves, Long Chops

This cycle shows explosive short moves followed by long consolidation, differing from prior four-year patterns.
Increased order-book depth from institutional liquidity changed how big sellers impact price.

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ANECDOTE

Galaxy’s Quiet $9B Sale Example

Matt recounts Galaxy Digital dumping $9 billion of Bitcoin with negligible price impact.
He uses it to illustrate how deeper markets let big holders scale out without huge slippage.

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Is Bitcoin Already Topping Out?

01:55 • 4min

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What Could Push Bitcoin Toward $160K–$175K

05:41 • 3min

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Why the $240K Call Changed

09:03 • 5min

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Comparing This Cycle to Past Cycles

Does Seasonality Matter for Bitcoin?

20:12 • 4min

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New On‑Chain Metric: Value Days Destroyed Multiple

24:31 • 3min

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What Long‑Term Holder Selling Signals Mean

27:44 • 3min

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Fractals Suggest Extended Consolidation

30:45 • 1min

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When Would Matt Sell or Buy More?

31:53 • 5min

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Short‑Term Holder MVRV As Sell Signal

Prediction Markets vs. On‑Chain Data

42:13 • 2min

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Polymarket Implied Price and Sentiment Signals

44:29 • 2min

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Gold Correlation and a Possible Year‑End Spike

46:49 • 2min

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Risks: Chance of Large Drawdowns Remains

In this episode, we sit down with Matt Crosby from Bitcoin Magazine Pro, one of the sharpest data-driven analysts in the game, to unpack whether this bull market is just catching its breath or already topping out. Matt gets into onchain signals, volatility compression, ETF flows, and why the current cycle looks nothing like 2017 or 2021.

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🎙 GUEST INFO 🎙

Matt Crosby

X: https://x.com/MattCrosbyPro

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BitcoinMagazinePro

📃 Disclaimer 📃

The information presented in this video is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial, legal. The views and opinions expressed by the speakers, are their own and do not constitute professional advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses.

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