EU Confidential Can Europe’s Trump counterpunch work? Sanctions, tariffs and a MAGA twist.
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Jun 6, 2025 Karin Karlsbro, a Swedish Member of the European Parliament and Vice Chair of the International Trade Committee, shares insights on Europe’s approach to Trump's tariff threats and the potential for a 'beautiful trade deal.' Andrzej Bobinski, Managing Director of Politika Insight, delves into Poland's election results and what they mean for the EU, particularly the dynamics of Tusk's coalition. The conversation also touches on U.S. sanctions against Russia and the complexities of transatlantic trade amidst current geopolitical tensions.
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Poland's Unexpected Presidential Win
- Karol Nawrotski's surprise victory involved shy voters who didn't openly acknowledge supporting him.
- His win reflects a broader rightward political shift in Poland and Europe.
Tusk Likely to Swerve Right
- Donald Tusk may shift right to avoid losing votes and may not aggressively pursue the pro-European agenda.
- Poland's European policy will likely become less proactive and more blocking to avoid political backlash.
Trump's Trade Policy Personal Project
- Trump's trade policy is very much a personal project driven by his unilateral decisions.
- This creates unpredictability and makes it difficult for the EU to negotiate effectively.