ABC News Daily
Antony Green’s 2025 election guide
May 1, 2025
Antony Green, ABC's chief elections analyst with over 30 years of experience, shares his thoughts on the upcoming 2025 election. He emphasizes the unpredictability of polls and the importance of numbers on election night. The discussion dives into voter preferences, how-to-vote cards, and the evolving engagement of younger voters. Antony also explores the complexities of forming minority governments and encourages voters to respect diverse opinions in a polarized landscape, reinforcing the vital role of democracy.
18:29
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Quick takeaways
- Antony Green emphasizes the unpredictability of election results despite polling trends, urging voters to focus on incoming numbers on election night.
- The evolving voter engagement landscape reflects increased reliance on social media and highlights the diminishing trust in traditional political processes and institutions.
Deep dives
The Intricacies of Election Polling
The current election polling reveals a notable shift in the political landscape, particularly regarding Peter Dutton's campaign. Despite earlier positive momentum, polls indicate a downturn for him, reminiscent of John Howard’s campaign in 2004 when initial optimism gave way to concerns about leadership and performance. Anthony Green suggests that pre-election ballots, while traditionally favoring the coalition, reflect the voters' commitment to their choices rather than an indication of changing support mid-campaign. The impact of pre-polling will require careful analysis as these numbers begin to roll in on election night, complicating the narrative around potential outcomes.
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