The Anfield Wrap cover image

The Anfield Wrap

Trendlines, Race Maps & The Value Behind xG: The Trends

Jul 31, 2024
Josh Williams, an expert in football statistics and analysis, dives deep into the fascinating world of football metrics. They explore the significance of post-shot expected goals in assessing goalkeeper performance, breaking down complex shot dynamics. The discussion emphasizes how expected goals can illuminate player value, particularly in Liverpool's recent transfers. Key insights into Liverpool's tactical approaches against major rivals highlight the impact of statistics on performance analysis. Tune in to discover how data shapes modern football!
28:38

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Post-shot expected goals (PSXG) effectively assesses both goalkeeper performance and finished shot quality, revealing crucial insights into player abilities.
  • Race charts and trend lines visually capture game dynamics and team performance over time, offering deeper strategic understanding beyond final scores.

Deep dives

Understanding Post-Shot Expected Goals (PSXG)

Post-shot expected goals (PSXG) is a measurement used primarily to evaluate the effectiveness of goalkeepers and the quality of finishes by players. A shot must be on target to generate a PSXG, meaning that missed shots automatically receive a value of zero. This model takes into account factors like shot velocity and angle, allowing for nuanced analysis of a player’s finishing ability. For example, a straightforward tap-in might have a PSXG of 1.00, confirming that the shot is expected to result in a goal, while less straightforward attempts can show lower PSXG values and highlight the goalkeeper's effectiveness.

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