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Value Hive Podcast

[REPLAY] Judd Arnold: Seeking Convexity in Offshore Energy

Nov 3, 2023
01:26:32
Snipd AI
Judd Arnold, an expert in offshore energy, discusses the offshore energy cycle, recent energy deals, and identifying value chain opportunities. They also explore portfolio construction, analyzing costs in offshore energy, and investment strategy. In a lighter moment, Judd shares their search for more plush lion toys for their daughter.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • When investing in energy, focus on convexity and upside potential, considering supply and demand dynamics and commodity prices.
  • Determine the right time to exit energy investments by analyzing commodity cycles, supply dynamics, and political considerations.

Deep dives

Summary of the importance of convexity and upside potential in energy investments

When investing in energy, it is important to focus on the convexity and upside potential of the investments. This involves assessing the supply and demand dynamics, replacement costs, and potential price increases in commodities like oil and copper. The goal is to identify opportunities that offer high returns and sustainability, considering factors such as asset quality, balance sheets, and management. It is also crucial to understand the risks associated with energy investments, including the impact of recessions and political considerations. Diversification is not a foolproof risk mitigation tool, and sizing investments appropriately can be just as important as making the right investment decisions.

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