Judging Freedom

LtCOL. Tony Shaffer : How Long Can Ukraine Last?

9 snips
Jul 31, 2025
Tony Shaffer, a retired Lieutenant Colonel and military analyst, shares his insights on the shifting dynamics in Ukraine's conflict. He discusses the mounting challenges faced by Ukraine’s air defense, particularly with deteriorating capabilities against Russian drone attacks. Shaffer also critiques provocative political rhetoric and the impact of economic sanctions on Russia. He evaluates U.S. foreign policy, highlighting the need to address emerging global threats, and expresses concerns about Ukraine's political stability and the sustainability of its military strategies.
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INSIGHT

Petrovsk: The War's Pivot Point

  • The key military engagement is at Petrovsk, seen as the war's endgame point.
  • If Russia wins there, it could advance to the Dnieper River easily, signaling severe danger for Ukraine.
INSIGHT

Ukraine's Air Defense Crisis

  • Russia has been producing about 1,000 drones daily, overwhelming Ukraine's air defenses.
  • The anti-air systems are depleted both by projectile exhaustion and network damage by Russian strikes.
INSIGHT

Ineffectiveness of Threats to Russia

  • Threatening Russia while it appears to be winning is ineffective and counterproductive.
  • Russia's economy and population resilience reduce the impact of Western threats and sanctions.
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