At Any Rate cover image

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: Got Commodities this summer?

Jun 21, 2024
Natasha Kaneva, Tracey Allen, and Gregory Shearer discuss the recent pullback in commodities and predict a 10% appreciation in the BCOM index. They touch on factors like weather-related volatility, pests, European elections, China's Third Plenum, and the Fed's rate cutting cycle. The podcast explores fluctuations in commodity prices, impact of production losses in the Black Sea region, resurgence of oil in the market, gasoline demand in the US, and outlook on gold, silver, copper, and natural gas prices.
17:11

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Commodities expected to appreciate by 10% due to supportive fundamentals and external factors
  • Sugar and wheat preferred for investment due to tight inventory and favorable weather conditions

Deep dives

Outlook on Commodities Performance

Commodity prices surged to all-time highs for copper, gold, cocoa, and frozen orange juice, followed by a pullback in June due to profit-taking and concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. Despite the retracement in commodity prices, a strong US payroll report indicated a cooling rather than collapsing economy, reflecting a 'goldilocks' scenario with moderate US growth. The recent pullback in commodities is viewed as temporary, especially in markets like copper, gold, and silver.

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