Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Jacques Baud: Borderless Israel & Gaza Pause
Oct 14, 2025
Colonel Jacques Baud, a former military intelligence analyst and author, delves into the complexities of the Gaza conflict. He explains the temporary ceasefire's fragility and why Hamas accepted a deal despite its flaws. Baud discusses the legal arguments for Palestinian resistance and critiques the demonization of adversaries, which hinders diplomacy. He also highlights Israel's internal challenges post-conflict, revealing societal rifts and military shortcomings. Finally, he explores the historical factors contributing to Israel's ambiguous borders.
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Ceasefire Without A Roadmap
- The Gaza accord is effectively a multi-phase plan where only the first ceasefire phase was defined and agreed.
- Jacques Baud warns the second and third phases (reconstruction, institutions) remain undefined and politically disputed, so durability is doubtful.
Israeli Politics Blocks Final Status
- Israeli public and political consensus opposes a Palestinian state, making long-term settlement unlikely.
- Baud argues this Israeli stance explains Palestinian caution and why they accepted the deal tactically rather than substantively.
A Plan Presented, Not Negotiated
- The Trump-crafted plan was not negotiated with Palestinians but presented as a take-it-or-leave-it offer.
- Baud notes Hamas accepted with reservations to avoid being blamed for prolonging war and to gain political legitimacy.