Bulwark Takes

NEW POLL: Independent Voters are Rejecting Trump (w/ Alyssa Cass)

Nov 11, 2025
Alyssa Cass, Chief Strategist at Blueprint and a keen political pollster, dives into the latest findings from a survey of over 3,000 voters. She reveals how opinions on Trump’s actions are dissected, with many viewing them as authoritarian. Surprisingly, only one action crossed the 50% threshold for being labeled authoritarian, sparking intriguing discussions about messaging strategies. Cass also highlights a substantial rejection of Trump’s governance model, especially among independents, linking his family’s corruption to broader affordability issues.
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INSIGHT

Robust Polling Methodology

  • Blueprint surveyed 3,028 voters online in mid-late September and weighted results to key demographics to achieve a 2.1% margin of error.
  • They used randomized max-diff questions to test whether 25 specific Trump actions were seen as authoritarian and whether voters supported them.
INSIGHT

Opposition Outpaces Authoritarian Labeling

  • Most individual actions didn't cross a majority threshold as "authoritarian," though several clustered near 50% recognition.
  • Large pluralities nonetheless opposed many actions, showing voters disapprove even when they avoid the authoritarian label.
INSIGHT

Corruption Resonates With Broad Opposition

  • Voters, including Republicans and independents, strongly oppose Trump family self-dealing and financial corruption.
  • Specific items like golf-course expansion, Saudi investment, and crypto dealings drew under 40% support and broad opposition.
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