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Lowy Institute

EVENT: Geopolitics - the bedrock of the new investment order

Nov 21, 2024
Jo Masters, Chief Economist at Barrenjoey Capital Partners, brings 25 years of economic insight, while Ben Samild, Chief Investment Officer at the Future Fund, leverages his extensive hedge fund expertise. Hervé Lemahieu, Director of Research at the Lowy Institute, dives into strategic geopolitics. They explore rising geopolitical tensions, the implications of U.S.-China relations, and the impact of political shifts on global markets. The discussion also covers inflation, decarbonization, and the significance of geopolitical risk in shaping investment strategies.
01:02:48

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Geopolitical tensions are reshaping investor strategies, compelling businesses to integrate political risk analysis into economic planning and decision-making.
  • The rise of populism and electoral shifts worldwide impact governance and economic policies, creating uncertainty and potential challenges for incumbents.

Deep dives

Shifting Geopolitical Certainties

The discussion highlights a significant realignment in the geopolitical landscape, marking a departure from the post-Cold War certainties that long defined international relations. Increasingly, assumptions about the rise of liberal democracy, global trade, and the stability of international relations are being challenged. Events in regions such as Ukraine and Gaza exemplify this volatility, raising questions about the validity of previously accepted norms. The emergence of geopolitical risk is now a critical consideration for businesses and governments, influencing economic strategies and international policies.

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