Senior campaigns and elections editor Steve Shepard is out with the latest update of POLITICO’s 2022 forecast.

Let’s begin with the headline: Five races are changing in this update, four of them in the GOP’s direction and one toward the Democratic candidate:

Arizona Senate: Lean D to Toss-Up
Pennsylvania governor: Lean D to Likely D
CA-27: Toss-Up to Lean R
CA-49: Lean D to Toss-Up
OR-05: Toss-Up to Lean R

Steve joins the show to break down the methodology behind the shifts and what else he's keeping an eye on with less than two weeks until Election Day.

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Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook Daily Briefing.
Jenny Ament is the Executive Producer of POLITICO Audio.

Oct. 27, 2022: Forecast: All GOP on the Western front