Stijn Schmitz engages with Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, known for his expertise in market cycles. They discuss an impending surge in gold and silver prices, with Oliver predicting gold could hit $8,000 and silver $100-$200. He warns of a potential 50% decline in the S&P 500, signaling a major shift towards commodities and real assets. Oliver also highlights the looming economic crisis, driven by high government debt and transformative changes in monetary policy, emphasizing the importance of strategic investments in precious metals and mining stocks.
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insights INSIGHT
Gold Has Institutional Upside
Gold has room to match prior eightfold bull runs and could reach much higher levels than current prices suggest.
Michael Oliver expects gold to become institutionalized and function as money again across countries.
insights INSIGHT
Gold Outperforms Broad Indices
Gold already broke out versus broad indices like the Dow and New York Composite, signalling a lasting relative-performance shift.
Oliver expects gold to both rise and outperfom stocks as markets topple.
insights INSIGHT
Stocks Topping Will Fuel Metals
A major stock market topping process could trigger money flows into monetary metals rather than bonds this time.
Oliver warns stocks may fall ~50% while T-bonds remain a poor alternative, boosting gold and silver demand.
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Stijn Schmitz welcomes Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis MSA. In this in-depth interview, Oliver provides a comprehensive analysis of the current financial landscape, with a particularly bullish outlook on gold, silver, and commodities. Oliver argues that gold and silver are on the cusp of a significant breakout, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. He suggests gold could reach $8,000, while silver might surge to $100-$200 within a few quarters. The key indicator for this potential surge is a technical spread relationship between gold and silver, which he believes is about to break out of a long-standing range. The discussion highlights the current economic context, particularly the potential for a major stock market correction. Oliver predicts the S&P 500 could decline by 50%, creating a significant shift in investment strategies. He emphasizes that this isn't just a typical market cycle, but a fundamental restructuring of asset allocation, with real-world assets like commodities becoming increasingly attractive. Oliver's analysis extends to broader economic trends, including government debt, monetary policy, and the potential for a reset in how people view money and investments. He suggests that the current monetary system, dominated by central bank interventions, is approaching a critical point of questioning and potential transformation. Regarding investment strategies, Oliver recommends focusing on silver, gold, and related mining stocks. He believes the miners, especially junior miners, could provide substantial leverage during this potential commodity boom. He's particularly excited about silver, arguing that when it breaks out, it could move dramatically and quickly enter a "new reality" of pricing. The interview concludes with Oliver emphasizing the importance of understanding market momentum and looking beyond traditional price charts. He suggests that investors should be prepared for a significant shift in asset preferences, with commodities and precious metals potentially becoming the preferred investment vehicles in the coming years.
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